At this moment we are hearing a lot about how we will support the fighting against ISIL, but through air strikes and not people on the ground. Once again we are certain we can win a war cheaply and quickly.
Got news for people, it don’t work that way. You can win a war quickly or cheaply, you can’t do both. We want a cheap victory, it will take time. We want a quick victory, it will cost; both lives, resources, and money.
Our problem is, we are underestimating ISIL, leaders and troops. We are dealing with fanatics, and fanatics are damned hard to persuade. Pinpricks don’t work, we need a lance wielded by a knight in 15th century plate from a Percheron moving at a trot.
We will have to deal out some serious pain.
That means more troops, more forward observers, more advisers, more support. It means re-opening air bases and naval bases in Iraq, and protecting them. That means boots on the ground.
Unless the Republicans royally fuck this opportunity up, and they could, the Democrats will lose the White House in 2016. In the meantime ISIL conquers Iraq and Syria, Turkey at the very least declares neutrality, Jordan asks for Israeli assistance, and Egypt may well offer assistance of their own to Israel.
Let’s face it, when Cthulhu is banging on your door, an alliance with Satan become possible.
So expect more news of woe out of the middle east. And expect our military to expand as ISIL is joined by even worse people.